Our People, Our Resources

Population growth and decline

The difference between the number of births and deaths occurring in a given period of time is the natural population growth. This natural increase excludes changes in a population size due to migration. For the sake of comparison, natural population growth is usually expressed as a percentage increase with respect to the population existing at the beginning of the time period considered (see Annex A). A three percent rate of growth translates into a population doubling time (i.e., the time it would take for a population to double assuming constant rates of growth) of 23 years.

Examples of extreme population growth values currently affecting some developing countries are reported in the last two columns of Table 2.2 (below). The table shows that for most of the selected countries, the crude birth rate is stationary or decreasing. Meanwhile, from 1960 to 1994, the crude death rates and especially the under-five mortality also decreased markedly in all of these countries. This pattern suggests that natural population growth in these regions has probably been related more to a decrease of mortality (particularly in the early years of life) than to an increase in natality and fertility. In the 1990s, this trend has reversed in some countries due to HIV/AIDS, e.g., in Uganda, where the average life expectancy from birth has now dropped into the mid-40s (PRB, 1996).


Table 2.2: Comparison of mortality and population growth indicators -- in 12 countries with high U5MRs and above-average annual growth rates

Country Under-5 Mortality Rate* Crude Death Rate Crude Birth Rate Annual Growth Rate
Year 1960 1994 1960 1994 1960 1994 1960 1994
Very high U5MR countries (over 140)
Niger 320 320 29 19 54 53 2.5 3.4
Somalia 294 211 28 19 50 50 2.2 3.1
Liberia 288 217 25 14 50 47 2.5 3.3
Tanzania 249 159 23 14 51 43 2.8 2.9
Nigeria 204 191 24 16 52 45 2.8 2.9
Gabon 287 151 24 16 31 37 0.7 2.1
Uganda 218 185 21 19 50 52 2.9 3.3
Pakistan 221 137 23 9 49 41 2.7 3.4
High U5MR countries (over 140)
Kenya 202 90 22 12 53 45 3.1 3.3
Nicaragua 209 68 19 7 51 41 3.2 3.4
Iraq 171 71 20 7 49 38 2.9 3.1
Zimbabwe 181 81 20 12 53 39 3.3 2.7
* Calculated on the basis of crude birth and death rates
Source: UNICEF, 1996

A negative rate of population growth, i.e., a natural decline in population size (sometimes called a 'negative increase'), occurs when the number of deaths exceeds that of births. This category of 'natural' population decline is separate from changes in population numbers due to migration or displacement. As human populations in the developing world generally tend towards increasing in size, negative rates of population growth are often the result of natural or man-made disasters (see Case Example 2.4).

Case Example 2.4 : Gold, slavery, and epidemics - decrease of the Amerindian population after the Hispanic Conquest

The "great dying" first affected the islands of the Caribbean. It then spread to the mainland shores of the Middle and South American lowlands in general. Finally, it made inroads into the highlands, which had supported the great polities of the Aztec, Chibcha, and Inca. Hispañola (Santo Domingo) had about a million inhabitants in 1492, when first contacted by Columbus. By the end of the 1520s only insignificant numbers survived.

A primary cause of the deaths and population decline was the spread of Old World pathogenic organisms to which the New World populations had not yet developed some immunological defenses. The impact of smallpox and measles, often complicated by respiratory ailments, was intense over wide areas. There were as many as 14 major epidemics in Mesoamerica, and perhaps as many as 17 in the Andean region between 1520 and 1600. Other illnesses had more localized effects. On the Mesoamerican coast, malaria - probably introduced by mosquitoes traveling on the ships of Spanish merchants and soldiers from Italy - caused regional havoc and then spread through the tropical lowlands.

One must ask also about the social and political conditions that permitted the pathogens to proliferate at so rapid a rate. On the islands and in the borderlands of the Caribbean, these conditions clearly included the extensive use of slave labor in the search for gold, and (after 1494) a massive intensification of slave raiding and slavery. Nicaragua alone lost, in the first half of the sixteenth century, an estimated 200,000 inhabitants to slave raiders, who sold their prey in the Caribbean islands, Panama and Peru.

Whatever the baseline figure, the combined effects of 'new' diseases and colonization catastrophically decimated the population. The pre-Hispanic population of Mesoamerica has been estimated at 25 million, but it fell to a low point of 1.5 million by 1650, recovering only slowly thereafter.

From: Wolf, 1982

Some population declines have been linked with severe environmental degradation, as for the lowland Maya of Yucatan during the ninth century AD (see Case Example 2.15). More recently, genocide (i.e., the intentional destruction of a given population, often on the basis of ethnic hatred) has caused substantial population losses. 'Natural' population declines have also been observed in some affluent communities in developed countries (see Case Example 2.5).


Case Example 2.5: Negative natural growth and child-rearing costs in northern and central Italy

In 1993, in the industrial and affluent areas of northern and central Italy, the balance between births and deaths was negative, i.e., approximately minus 78,000. This trend seems to be related to both economic and behavioral factors, as well as to the wide availability of family planning services.

In this setting, the desired pattern of consumption and the cost of living require a level of income which can only be achieved if both husband and wife have full-time jobs. The average number of years of education (including high school and university) delay the integration of young adults into the workforce, postponing to the third decade of life the age at which a married couple feels sufficiently self-reliant to engage in parenthood. In fact, the socio-economic cost of child-rearing has greatly increased in the last decades. As a consequence of this economic trend, fertility is no longer a way to gain social status, and parenthood is no longer perceived as a basic condition of adult life. Most married couples feel comfortable with having just one child; others completely ignore the biological and psychological drive towards reproduction and renounce parenthood.

Adapted from: Solinas, 1992

Population growth may also be equal to zero. The zero-growth situation, frequently termed 'population stabilization', develops when the difference between the numbers of live-births and deaths in a given period of time is equal (or nearly equal) to zero. This situation is an index of balanced population dynamics, which, in fact, is what has happened for most of mankind's evolutionary history, with high child mortality balanced against high fertility. Today, births and deaths tend to balance in populations with an older age distribution in which each couple averages only two children that survive to reproductive age. This kind of zero natural growth, achieved by a reduction in both mortality and fertility attained throughout the globe, would be a powerful component of sustainable livelihood.


Population and culture: fertility and contraception

High numbers of offspring are encouraged in many rural communities. In fact, most ethnic and peasant groups world-wide set a high value on fertility. Among the Akan of Ghana, for example, a woman who gives birth to ten children is rewarded with 'the tenth-child sheep', so that she would not stop at the seventh, eighth, or ninth child.

In settings where no social security system is available, sons and daughters are the only security a parent has in his/her old age. Moreover, beginning in childhood, sons and daughters often work to provide additional income for the household. Once grown up, they play a major role in strengthening, through marriage, the social links between their parents' household and other members of the community. This often represents important economic and social advantages for the families involved, in terms of capacity to mobilize extra labor, exchange of goods and services, maintenance of property rights, social status, etc.

The economic and social advantages of high fertility are often embedded in deeply rooted social and religious values. With the exception of Catholicism, no major religious tradition contains an unequivocal and universally accepted prohibition against contraception. Even so, many traditional communities still rely on religion for arguments opposing the limitations on fertility and family size advocated by external development agents. For example, while religious scholars are divided on the attitudes of Islam towards contraception, the widespread belief among many practicing Muslims is that modern contraception is incompatible with religious teachings.

Until recently, only Western Europe and societies with European ancestry in the New World looked negatively on fertility. These societies are characterized by nuclear families, late marriages and parents contributing to their children's economic well-being: all factors that would favor smaller families and lower population growth (see below, Case Example 2.5). In contrast, the predominant family pattern in much of rural Asia and Africa is extended families, early marriages and 'adult' children who economically assist their parents. These factors tend to encourage high fertility and high population growth rates. In both cases, cultural attitudes toward fertility appear based on the predominant social and economic conditions in a given community. In the long run, both cultural systems are unsustainable, because growth in either population or consumption cannot continue indefinitely into the future.

Case Example 2.5: Negative natural growth and child-rearing costs in northern and central Italy

In 1993, in the industrial and affluent areas of northern and central Italy, the balance between births and deaths was negative, i.e., approximately minus 78,000. This trend seems to be related to both economic and behavioral factors, as well as to the wide availability of family planning services.

In this setting, the desired pattern of consumption and the cost of living require a level of income which can only be achieved if both husband and wife have full-time jobs. The average number of years of education (including high school and university) delay the integration of young adults into the workforce, postponing to the third decade of life the age at which a married couple feels sufficiently self-reliant to engage in parenthood. In fact, the socio-economic cost of child-rearing has greatly increased in the last decades. As a consequence of this economic trend, fertility is no longer a way to gain social status, and parenthood is no longer perceived as a basic condition of adult life. Most married couples feel comfortable with having just one child; others completely ignore the biological and psychological drive towards reproduction and renounce parenthood.

Adapted from: Solinas, 1992

Throughout history, the high fertility of human beings has been balanced by both natural and cultural controls. Natural controls include biological determinants of natural fertility, such as women's monthly menstrual cycles, their nutritional status, and infectious or degenerative diseases. Culture, which broadly includes clusters of shared values and behaviors, controls fertility through practices related to conception, as well as to the care of fertile and pregnant women, infants and children. Cultural controls affect population dynamics in two complementary ways:

  • by determining and shaping behaviors that result in the reduction of women's natural potential for fertility, e.g., late age of marriage and first births, prolonged breast-feeding, prolonged separation of parents after a birth, use of family planning methods, etc.
  • by defining the sets of values, beliefs, and specific attitudes that influence the context of reproduction and parenting, e.g., perceptions of the best age to start parenting, stigmatizing new pregnancies that occur when the previous child is still breast-feeding, giving special names to persons who bear twins or triplets, etc.

Cultural regulation of sexual activity (coitus) is the most direct means of controlling conception. In all societies, this is achieved through rules which limit potential sexual relationships (e.g., forbidding incest). Age-at-marriage and sexual taboos preventing intercourse during specific periods (for instance, soon after the birth of a child) can be considered mechanisms for controlling sexual activity, and therefore the potential for reproduction.

A second way of controlling conception by cultural means is contraception (i.e., practices which reduce the probability of a woman becoming pregnant without necessarily preventing sexual intercourse). Contracep-tion also includes regulating sexual activity based on scientific or folk knowledge of reproductive anatomy and variations in fertility during the menstrual cycle, as well as contraceptive herbs and medications.

An important means of controlling conception, practiced by most pre-industrial societies, is prolonged breast-feeding. Folk wisdom in many regions includes awareness of the relationship between breast-feeding and length of post-partum amenorrhea (i.e., the time following delivery during which a woman's menstrual cycle is interrupted). Research studies have shown that under favorable conditions, prolonged breast-feeding can result in birth-spacing intervals of three or more years, with a reliability comparable to modern medical and chemical contraceptives (Short, 1984).

In addition, harsh living conditions tend to affect fertility. According to Harris and Ross (1987), the way in which women are physically treated can raise or lower the age of the first menstruation, lengthen or reduce the period of adolescent sterility, increase or decrease the frequency of amenorrhea, and hasten or retard the upper limits of the fertility age. Variation in nutritional intake, physical workload and harsh living conditions may decrease fertility and increase the risks of natural abortion, maternal mortality and infant mortality (Bongaarts, 1982; Hamilton et al., 1984).

In many rural communities, various traditional (non-medical) forms of planning and controlling births are far more prevalent than the modern methods. In fact, most individuals or couples who utilize modern methods are also likely to be using one or more of the traditional methods. Thus, measurements of the impact of family planning interventions that are only linked to levels of acceptance or use of specific modern methods may be of little value in determining actual practices that are regulating population size in a community.

Over-emphasis on modern methods can also lead to discounting traditional values in the community (Mamdani, 1972). A good method of assessing the effects of any intentional change in population control-related behaviors in a community is to measure birth intervals, i.e., the average period of time between consecutive births among those women who are having children in the community. This can be a very sensitive measure at local levels, able to show changes rapidly and inexpensively.

Intra-uterine death and spontaneous abortion are high among human females, i.e., up to 25 percent of pregnancies during the first month (MacCormack, 1982). Although this pattern is partly due to natural anatomical and physiological factors, such a high abortion rate cannot be explained without taking into account the effects of harmful cultural practices. Among such behaviors are not reducing the workload of women during the early months of pregnancy or not providing them with a high-quality diet. Additionally, intentional abortions (by mechanical or chemical means) are practiced in many cultures as a child-spacing device (Devereux, 1976). The impact of these practices may reach far beyond the direct effects on the new life - unsafe abortions can cause anatomical and physiological damage that reduces a woman's fertility.

More or less deliberate infanticide has also been widely reported in historical and anthropological literature. In addition to direct killing, at least five other forms of infanticidal behavior occur in several cultures: placing an infant in dangerous situations; abandonment with little chance of survival; negligence resulting in accidents; excessive physical punishment; and lowered biological support (Scrimshaw, 1983). Not only infants, but also children are the victims of direct or indirect forms of homicide (Dickemann, 1984; see also Case Example 2.6).

Case Example 2.6: Beliefs, parents' attitudes and childhood deaths among the Achuar

The Achuar (a slash-and-burn horticultural society of the Pastaza watershed in the Ecuadorian and Peruvian Amazon) consider the first year of life of a new-born baby as an extension of his or her intra-uterine existence. Infants are thus perceived as being not only completely dependent on the mother, but also as weak, incomplete and not yet full sons or daughters. Until they are given a personal name, their social existence is not even acknowledged.

Achuar infants are assumed to be exposed to a vast amount of risks posed by the magic powers of almost all objects, plus the behaviors of their parents. Most infant illnesses are believed to occur after parents breach some of the infinite eating and behavioral taboos they must respect in order to ensure an infant's health and survival. The death of a breast-fed child is most often attributed to a ritual that has not been correctly followed by the parents. Even so, no blame is given to the mother or the father of the dead baby: everybody understands that the number of taboos is so great that it would be impossible to live without breaking some of them. Thus, when infants die, limited mourning rituals are carried out in a rapid fashion. Within days, nobody in the community seems to be further interested in the issue.

This attitude is in strong contrast to the anxiety which surrounds illness in an already weaned, but walking and talking child (i.e., a being who has a personal name and who is a 'real' son or daughter). A sick child is a major event for a household: huge amounts of money and time are invested in attempts to heal the child through modern medicine or expensive shamanistic rituals. The death of such a child is often attributed to enemies' witchcraft. Long mourning rituals are performed, and the warriors of the community may discuss for weeks, or even months, the possibility of taking revenge on the witch suspected of being responsible for the death.

However, as soon as the symptoms subside and the child recovers, the daily routine of child-rearing is resumed. Weaned children are left alone for the entire day with a sister who is only two to three years older. During meals, they are not entitled to their own portion of food but must share those of the parents, kinsmen and visitors. Customary rules are enforced by threats, physical punishment and, in cases of severe infringement, administration of intoxicating datura roots. Accidents both within and outside the home are quite common, as is retaliation against small children by elder brothers and sisters.

Considering infants as not fully human and accepting their death as destiny is perhaps a way of culturally and psychologically managing the fragility and precariousness of the early months of life and the high infant mortality affecting tropical rain forest societies (more than 150 deaths per 1,000 live births). Severe and somewhat inconsistent child training may, on the other hand, be interpreted as a way of promoting acquisition of behaviors and skills which are adaptive with respect not only to the harsh physical environment with which the Achuar must deal, but also to the conflictive, violent and unsafe social arena in which adult social life unfolds. The Achuars' version of the Darwinian principle of survival of the fittest may indeed have contributed to limiting population growth over the centuries.

Concern over population growth is not new to the domain of public health. Since the late 1960s, when the assumption that a decrease in infant and child mortality would automatically lead to a reduction in the birth rate proved to be questionable (see Box 2.5), a family planning component has been added to most national health service delivery systems. In 1978, family planning was acknowledged by WHO as a basic element of comprehensive Primary Health Care, and some years later it was endorsed by UNICEF as a key component of its child survival strategy.

Box 2.5: How can the birth rate be reduced?

There is a widespread assumption that the necessary and sufficient condition for reducing the birth rate is to reduce the child death rate. The reasoning goes that if families see that their children no longer die, they will have fewer of them.

Preston (1978) was among the first to question this notion. He called it a "hopeful policy declaration resting on a thin research base" and wondered how much mortality decline can be expected to translate into fertility decline, and the strength of this relation in "setting levels of mortality control." An additional child death in a family leads, on average, to far less than one additional birth, especially in high-fertility pre-transitional societies. He concluded: "The picture is not attractive for those who look to mortality reduction as a means to reduce fertility through familial effects, let alone those who advocate such measures as a means to reduce growth rates."

A fall in the birthrate leading to a demographic transition seems to require the harnessing of social and economic gains consequent to poverty reduction and socio-economic development. Unfortunately, serious constraints prevent such development from happening and thus the birth rate from falling. The factors include lack of agricultural land and its poor quality and irrigation potential, poor supplies of energy and other raw materials, limited access to education and jobs, and lack of political representation. There is also the economic stranglehold exerted by the rich over the poor, and by the industrial over the developing world; the time needed for structural and cultural change must also be taken into account. For many countries, these constraints appear to be so great that a demographic transition is unlikely to occur before excessive pressure is exerted on the ecological support system.

From: King, 1990

Nonetheless, in many countries - particularly those in Sub-Saharan Africa - the short-term impact of family planning programs on fertility rates has proven to be limited. Cultural acceptance, physical and financial accessibility for users, and costs of service delivery have been shown to be major constraints. Actual use of modern family planning technologies is the result of complex socio-cultural changes that sometimes unfold through generations.

Furthermore, important gender differences exist in many societies con-cerning the perceived advantages and disadvantages of having many children. Because women disproportionately bear the costs of child-bearing and child-rearing, they are often more interested than men in limiting and spacing births. Today, there are high levels of unmet need for family planning among women in the developing world. Unmet need is a measure that represents the percentage of women of reproductive age who wish to space or limit births but who are not currently using a contraceptive method.

The Program of Action that emerged from the 1994 International Conference on Population and Development emphasized that organized family planning programs are but one component of a broader strategy to stabilize population growth rates and improve well-being. The other ingredients include improving women's status, expanding reproductive health services, poverty alleviation, improving infant and child health services, education of the girl child, and increasing male responsibility. Work on all of these fronts together is likely to have a greater impact on fertility than would investment in family planning alone.

Case Example 2.7: Linking population and environment in south-west Uganda

The Kigezi region of south-western Uganda is a beautiful area characterized by heavily terraced hills that quilt the landscape. Once covered by forest that extended from Zaire to Burundi, most of the trees have been cleared for timber, building poles and arable land. Only two major remnants of the forest remain intact in Uganda, and both were designated as national parks by the government in 1992: Bwindi Impenetrable National Park (BINP) and Mgahinga Gorilla National Park (MGNP). Together, the two parks are home to over half of the world's population of mountain gorillas (Gorilla gorilla berengei).

Beginning in 1986, NGOs have supported conservation and development activities through agroforestry extension programs combined with conservation education and community outreach. In 1994, a more participatory, need-driven approach was adopted. The new activities include a ground-breaking multiple-use program in which certain resource users from a community are allowed access to previously restricted forest products, such as weaving materials and medicinal herbs.

In 1992, in part as a response to a desire for family planning assistance expressed by community members and relayed through project staff, one of such NGOs (CARE) initiated a region-wide family planning program. The Community Reproductive Health Project (CREHP) works with the district health teams to train clinic personnel in the delivery of family planning services in 74 regional health units. In 1994, CREHP began selecting and training community volunteers to provide family planning counseling and referral in their communities and to distribute contraceptives.

From the initial impetus for CREHP, the linkages between the two regional projects were apparent. Population densities surrounding the parks are some of the highest in Africa, exceeding 250 persons per square kilometer. Land shortage due to overpopulation is one of the most pressing problems for people of the area, as reported in numerous community surveys. Furthermore, there are serious doubts that the conservation program will be sustainable if the local population continues to grow at its current rate of about 3 percent. Finally, the desire for family planning among local populations is high, due mostly to an inability to adequately provide for current children and a pervasive lack of male support in the household.

From: Lindblade, 1994

Health status and quality of life

Decreased mortality (especially among infants and children) and a related increase in life expectancy are evidence of a general improvement in the health status of human populations. This phenomenon, which is in contrast to the sometimes apocalyptic news and images of poverty, disease, malnutrition and death spread by the media, has intrigued demographers and epidemiologists and incited them to ask: "Why is mortality decreasing?"

Table 2.3: Some indicators of health status and quality of life at the local level

Topic
Indicators
Reproductive health
  • average age at marriage, by gender;
  • average age at first and last birth;
  • average number of deliveries in women's reproductive life;
  • average length of child spacing, i.e., average duration of intervals between consecutive births to the same woman;
  • percentage of women who wish to delay childbearing or stop having children who are not currently using modern contraception (unmet need);
  • percentage of women of reproductive age with access (walking distance, reasonable hours, manageable costs) to health care and family planning services;
  • percentage of pregnant women without anemia;
  • percentage of deliveries with trained attendant at the birth;
  • percentage of pregnant women under age 25 who test negative for syphilis or HIV/AIDS infection.
  • Mortality and morbidity (conventional health status indicators)
  • mortality rates (infant, child, maternal);
  • top five causes of morbidity and mortality by age group (infants, under-5s, adolescents 10-19 and adults);
  • rates of diarrhea or acute respiratory infection in children under 5;
  • incidence of vaccine-preventable diseases (i.e., whooping cough, measles and poliomyelitis) in children under 5;
  • prevalence of TB in different age groups;
  • prevalence of malnutrition in 1-5-year-old children;
  • prevalence of anemia in pregnant women;
  • incidence or prevalence of endemic diseases (such as malaria, schistosomiasis, guinea worm, leishmaniasis, leprosy, etc.) in different age groups;
  • prevalence of alcoholism and drug addiction (by age and gender);
  • accidental death rate (by age group and gender);
  • rates of intentional deaths by age and gender (homicide, suicide).
  • Sustainable natural resources use
  • percentage of arable land exploited;
  • percentage of land showing signs of degradation;
  • percentage of forested area lost or regained annually;
  • percentage of natural wetlands lost or regained annually;
  • depth of permanent water table (time trends);
  • number of endemic species of animals or plants that are extinct or endangered;
  • number, extent and danger of chemicals being used locally for pest or weed control.
  • Satisfaction of some basic needs
  • percentage of children with basic anthropometric (nutrition and growth) measures within accepted standard;
  • percentage of new-born babies with a birth weight within accepted standard;
  • percentage of households with access to safe water throughout entire year;
  • liters per person of safe water available/in use;
  • percentage of houses properly protected against extreme weather;
  • percentage of households with a kitchen separated from the living area;
  • percentage of households with separate bedroom for every two persons;
  • percentage of households with income above the official poverty line;
  • percentage of households with savings or access to an equitable credit system;
  • labor division by age and gender within household;
  • male and female literacy rate;
  • percentage of children 6-12 years old enrolled in school;
  • percentage of 1-2-year-old children fully immunized against vaccine-preventable diseases;
  • percentage of households living within two hours of the nearest health unit (and services provided at the unit);
  • average cost of services at nearest health unit (is it affordable by the ones most in need?);
  • percentage of adults actively participating in community decision-making, by gender.
  • A study carried out by Caldwell (1989 and 1993) on a sample of 15 developing countries showed that a strong correlation exists between health success (measured in terms of mortality decrease and life expectancy increase) and the educational levels of women of maternal age, followed closely by the practice of family planning and the education of men, and to a lesser extent by the density of doctors and levels of nutrition. Per capita income seemed to have little effect.

    Based on these and other similar data, Murray and Chen (1993) suggested that improvement in health status is related to two types of health promotive assets:

    • physical assets, including health-care infrastructure, schools, transportation facilities, housing, water supply and sanitation; and
    • social assets, including education and health-related perceptions and behaviors.

    Box 2.6: Ethical dilemmas

    The reduction of human death rates has always been seen as an absolute good in public health, and unease about population increase has never been an accepted constraint of any public health measure. Will visions of the ultimate effects of population expansion alter this view?

    Hill (1960) called it "the most solemn problem of the world" and wrote: "If ethical principles deny our right to do evil in order that good may come, are we justified in doing good when the foresee-able consequence is evil?" In other words, are there some programs which, although technically feasible, should not be initiated because of their long-term population-increasing consequences?

    In Preston's words (1978) should one deliberately "set levels of mortality control"? Is what is done corporately in public health ethically different from what is done individually? How far is it necessary to look into the future to decide between immediate and distant goals? How much should ecological sustainability influence health programs?

    From: King, 1990

    According to these authors, the summative effect of physical and social health assets (which have developed, to a variable extent, throughout the world in the last 20 years) should be considered as the leading cause of recent mortality decreases in the developing world.

    Meanwhile, the example from Ghana (see Chapter 1, Case Example 1.1) shows that mortality and morbidity rates alone are not appropriate for describing the health status of a community. The definition of health as comprehensive well-being requires that health status be assessed not only in terms of decrease in mortality and morbidity, but also with respect to quality of life. This raises some ethical dilemmas (see Box 2.6). King has suggested re-defining health as a sustainable state of well-being. This state can be achieved and maintained by keeping both population and consumption within the limits set by the carrying capacity of local environment. Public health interventions could thus be improved by including efforts aimed at limiting both population growth and the exploitation of the natural resource-base.

    In addition to considering the ethical dilemmas which population management and health promotion situations pose, as pointed out by King (1990), the conventional definitions of health are incomplete. Health equated to "absence of disease" or defined in Primary Health Care as "complete physical, mental and social well-being" (WHO, 1978) does not include one fundamental aspect: that the health of a human community is directly linked with the health of its natural and social environment.

    Together with conventional 'negative' health status indicators such as mortality and morbidity rates, positive indicators of health (i.e., of quality of life) could thus be examined, focusing on issues such as reproductive health, sustainable use of natural resources and satisfaction of basic needs.

    A non-comprehensive example of a list of indicators for assessing health status and quality of life at the local level is provided in Table 2.3 (above).


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